I while back I decided to take a break from using this blog to post political commentary but I am finding it harder and harder to remain silent given all that is going on. So, I am going to start writing again, if only to give myself a place to rant. I don’t know if I will write daily or just when the urge strikes me but expect these musings to pop up from time to time. When I travel, I will switch gears and use this blog to talk about more pleasant things and perhaps post pretty pictures of various places around the world.
I am still planning to go to Portugal in April. Last year my trip was postponed due to COVID but this year it appears that the bigger threat might be a war that is breaking out in the Ukraine. One can certainly hope that the current action by Putin will be contained within the borders of Ukraine but his actions are somewhat reminiscent of Hitler’s actions when he started to expand his sphere of influence across Europe.
Ukraine is not a member of NATO so Article V, requiring member nations to come to the defense of any other member under attack, can not be invoked. NATO can provide assistance to Ukraine but will likely stop short of mounting a full-scale war to defend the sovereignty of Ukraine. Unfortunately, it is probably a given that Ukraine will fall under the Russian umbrella in the not-to-distant future.
The bigger and more important question is whether or not Putin will be satisfied with the conquest of the Ukraine. The reason that is important is because the next targets that are most likely on Putin’s radar screen are the former Soviet republics of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia. These countries are, in fact, members of NATO and, as such, if they are attacked by Russia, the other member NATO states will be obligated to come to their defense. That would likely lead to a full-blown war with Russia. Is this really what Putin wants?
If you look at a map of Europe, authoritarian rulers have already taken root in Belarus, Hungary, and Turkey on the easter flank of NATO. Hungary and Turkey are NATO members and although they purport to operate under democracy, they clearly do not. Given this and what is now going on in Ukraine, it’s like watching the ‘authoritarian PacMan’ gobble up countries in Europe. It is extremely unfortunate that more people do not understand the long-term threat that this poses to NATO, the EU and to this country.
And now we have the former president, Donald Trump, singing the praises of Vladimir Putin as he invades a sovereign neighbor. That is unprecedented in American history. Given Trump’s deference towards Putin during his presidency and given Trump’s view of the world, this should come as a surprise to no one. Trump and Putin are cut of the same cloth and I have no doubt that, given the chance, Trump would take a very similar course of action.
Putin actively suppresses his opponents in Russia through intimidation, throwing them in prison or just having them killed. Given Trump’s inability to withstand any criticism at all and his penchant for revenge, no one should doubt that, given the opportunity Trump would not hesitate to suppress his opposition in a similar manner. How is anyone surprised that he finds this Putin trait admirable? I’m sure we all remember the chants of “Lock her up.”
There is essentially no free press in Russia. The media is controlled by the State. If Trump had his way, it would be the same here in the United States. Given his innate ability to lie with a straight face and develop alternate narratives and realities that are not at all grounded in fact, he would love to control the media. This is another reason he so admires Putin.
My original plan was to go kick the tires in Portugal with an idea towards maybe moving there for an extended period of time. Why? Quality of life is certainly one part but, frankly, I am very concerned about the future of this country. If Trump or a Trump-like clone were to be elected in 2024, I believe this country will begin to look more and more like Putin’s Russia and less and less like the United States that I grew up in. I intend to watch that transformation from afar. Portugal? Maybe. But given what is now going on in Europe, I may find a few more places to go explore.
As they say, ‘Power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.’ And that is exactly what we are witnessing now.